Electricity Distribution Price Escalation. A report to the Commerce Commission.

Read our report here.

The Commerce Commission (the Commission) approached Principal Economics Limited (PEL) to develop sector-specific forecasts for the escalation of input prices pertinent to electricity distribution businesses (EDBs). These forecasts will be used to inform the reset of the forthcoming default price-quality path (DPP) for EDBs and encompass the following key components:

  • An evaluation of the adequacy of the Commission’s approach in the previous DPP, considering the prevailing inflationary environment.
  • Identification of cost categories and relevant indices essential for analysing price inflators.
  • Collaboration with stakeholders to devise a methodology for predicting EDBs’ cost escalation factors.
  • Development of sector-specific input price escalation forecasts for EDBs.

The resulting report is designed to meet the specifications of DPP4 (2025-2030), tackle various risk and uncertainty factors, and benefit from close cooperation with the Commission and input garnered from submissions.